Florida State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
166  Matt Mizereck JR 32:08
189  Josh Gracia SR 32:11
240  Bryant Blahnik JR 32:20
399  Kevin Johnson SR 32:46
571  William Bridges SO 33:08
670  Zak Seddon SO 33:18
702  Jakub Zivec SR 33:22
897  Sean Quinn SR 33:43
1,091  Avery Lopez FR 33:59
1,148  John Kemper Morton SR 34:04
1,538  Grant Nykaza FR 34:36
1,569  Max Del Monte FR 34:38
1,881  Chris Godwin FR 35:06
National Rank #53 of 311
South Region Rank #3 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 68.8%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.4%


Regional Champion 39.7%
Top 5 in Regional 99.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Matt Mizereck Josh Gracia Bryant Blahnik Kevin Johnson William Bridges Zak Seddon Jakub Zivec Sean Quinn Avery Lopez John Kemper Morton Grant Nykaza
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 814 32:12 32:18 32:16 32:39 33:01 34:35 35:40
FSU Invitational 10/11 1174 33:21 33:41 33:54 33:33
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/18 1221 34:07 34:23 33:51
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 863 32:25 31:59 32:24 33:13 33:13 34:04 34:40
ACC Championships 11/01 744 31:51 32:06 32:04 32:40 33:15 33:28 33:23 33:43 33:29 34:34
South Region Championships 11/15 882 32:29 32:13 32:42 33:05 32:37 33:21
NCAA Championship 11/23 33:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 68.8% 29.6 713 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.6 3.4 4.8 7.8 15.4 32.2
Region Championship 100% 2.1 89 39.7 28.1 19.5 9.2 3.2 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Mizereck 82.5% 130.4
Josh Gracia 80.2% 139.1
Bryant Blahnik 74.6% 157.7
Kevin Johnson 68.9% 207.9
William Bridges 68.9% 230.8
Zak Seddon 68.9% 238.2
Jakub Zivec 68.9% 240.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Mizereck 7.1 0.3 1.9 4.9 8.5 11.4 11.2 10.9 8.3 7.9 5.4 4.7 3.7 3.3 2.6 2.3 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4
Josh Gracia 7.8 0.1 1.2 3.5 6.9 9.2 10.9 10.4 9.7 6.9 6.3 5.7 4.4 3.6 2.6 2.9 2.1 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6
Bryant Blahnik 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 5.0 6.0 7.9 8.7 9.3 8.8 6.5 5.5 5.1 4.7 3.4 2.8 2.7 2.3 2.5 1.5 1.8 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.9
Kevin Johnson 20.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.5 3.3 4.0 4.6 5.1 4.7 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.0 3.9 3.5 3.1 2.8
William Bridges 34.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.4 2.0 2.6 2.7 3.1
Zak Seddon 43.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.3
Jakub Zivec 45.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 39.7% 100.0% 39.7 39.7 1
2 28.1% 100.0% 28.1 28.1 2
3 19.5% 5.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 18.5 1.0 3
4 9.2% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.0 4
5 3.2% 3.2 5
6 0.4% 0.4 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 68.8% 39.7 28.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 31.2 67.8 1.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0